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News · Updated 7 Nov 2026

GTA 6 at 89% on Polymarket to Win Game of the Year

Short answer: Insider Gaming reports Polymarket traders give GTA 6 an 89% chance of winning Game of the Year at The Game Awards, ahead of Resident Evil Requiem at 7% and Phantom Blade Zero at 3%. These are betting odds, not nominations or a result.

By Jake Morrison · Sources checked by GTA6Geek Editorial · Published · Last updated · 4 min read

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Vice City in GTA 6, Rockstar GamesImage: Rockstar Games
On this page
  1. The odds
  2. What this is and is not
  3. Sources
  4. What to read next

The odds

According to Insider Gaming, Polymarket traders give GTA 6 an 89% chance of Game of the Year, with Resident Evil Requiem at 7% and Phantom Blade Zero at 3%. The same markets show 53% for Best Audio Design, 55% for Best Narrative and 70% for Best Game Direction. 96% of users expect it to break first-day sales records and all expect a Metacritic score above 92.

GTA 6 can be considered because it launches a couple of days before the eligibility cut-off. See our eligibility explainer.

Is this real? Reported, but not confirmed by Rockstar yet

Who said it: Polymarket traders, reported by Insider Gaming. Sources: Insider Gaming. Our view: betting odds that can change; not a nomination or a result. Checked: 7 Nov 2026.

What this is and is not

ItemStatus
Polymarket oddsReported Prediction-market prices, which move
Game Awards nominationUnconfirmed Not announced yet

Scores and review dates are tracked in the Metacritic prediction.

Sources

Last checked: 7 Nov 2026. Labels: Official = Rockstar or platform holder, Reported = previews or press, Unconfirmed = not stated by Rockstar.

What to read next

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Frequently asked questions

Will GTA 6 win Game of the Year?

Nobody knows yet. Polymarket traders give it 89%, but those are odds.

Is it nominated?

Not announced.

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